Pretty much what Seb said. Jon rarely was good at a tour start in comparison to a couple of shows into the tour. Even New Jersey, Keep The Faith or These Days concerts were to have their peak some weeks/months into the tour.
Even when people think that he was sensational in 1993, it was only in a short time frame from mid-March to May. In fact, 1993 was his most inconsistent tour of the first 20 years (leaving the abrupt vocal loss in 1987 aside).
The problem is that he never learned and perfected a certain technique. The way he sang in April of 1993 was pretty much different to the summer of 1995, to the early 2000's and then to his Indian summer from 2008 to 2011. He always just used what was best for the situation without really sticking to a certain way, without perfecting it and without taking too much care of preserving it until it was way too late.
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