I think that both the smoking and the early damage caused by overworking his voice is the primary cause of his decline in voice quality. I don't understand why he has continued smoking since he should know that it damages his instrument, which is his most valuable asset to his career.
I also think that he doesn't seem to want to belt it out and let go like he used to. Maybe he is afraid of damaging his voice even more by doing this?
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"...there is a magic deeper still..." - C.S. Lewis
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